Ernya.com

They're only available for three days so I wouldn't think there to be heaps re-entering the system. Might depend on whether the dates falls on a weekend. I expect prices will stay the same or drop a little in the short run, and continue rising, albeit possibly at a slower rate, in the long run.

No, I don't think so. Either way, the black spell had a drop recently (sales of it going for 40-50k) but I doubt a three day release will actually do anything to its value. It might inflate in a more steady pace.

With the three day release, I can't see them dropping, and even if they do, I highly doubt it would be a significant amount. One, the spells are expensive as it is already, so there aren't as many of blacks in the system as say.. cyan?

All in all, I forsee little to no change at all.

I don't think that it will hurt the value of any spell, cause it's too short of a time, and the really expensive spells people are going to be less likely to buy. But at the same time, people do have to remember that it's a FUNDraiser. It's suppose to help the site out.

Nova wrote:there aren't as many of blacks in the system as say.. cyan?

;D

Anyway. Short answer: No.

Long answer: It's valued at 60k, but with the current value of hearts steady at 300, it's actually going to be selling for around 66k in the shops. I haven't seen many people able to get rid of their black spells for 70k, so I have to assume those that most people aren't going to buying these to resell them for a profit. At least not yet. Like others have mentioned, people aren't going to dump a $22 spell for anything less than what they paid for it unless they have to sacrifice it for something else they want. Which happens every day with other items, but it doesn't really affect their price. As far as the other color spells, their price has been fairly volatile anyway, all I can see the shop release doing is stabilizing them a bit more.

also consider that the spells are going for a minimum of 215 hearts, which isn't even exactly 20 dollars, it's above. That's fine if you can donate the $20 all at once and get the bundle package of 215 hearts, but if you're donating here-and-there when you can, like I would be, you're actually paying $21.50 for the spell. Add that to it only being released for three days, and I don't see monumental amounts of these spells moving- lots, yes, but not tons.

If I may add something to everything that has been said already, keep in mind that this is a fundraiser for the games and marketplace. Once we have both of these out, we will be going through a lot of advertising, and we expect many new users and gamers, which will increase the demand for all items.
Without the games and marketplace, as Prezrok explained, we have been growing really slowly, and this is why not many items are in demand in the exchange, and the sales are kinda slow.
If we were not going to raise funds, therefore not doing the spell rotation, there wouldn't be more spells in the system, but at the same time, there would only be a very slow increase of the spells and items in demand.
With the fundraiser and spell rotation, it means that we will get these features out which will allow us to advertise and bring in much more people. So that even if there are more spells in the system because of the rotation, the demand in the end will probably still be even higher for both items and spells, because of the new influx of users, which wouldn't have happened in the first place without these new features.

I don't see the price going anywhere. Black spells are very desirable. The people who are selling them probably have a couple of personal black spells and don't really need to sell any.. They would have to go lower than the shop price of the spells in order to sell their spells. It won't hurt them to wait a few days for the sale to be over so the price will go back to where it is now. I don't know if I phrased that correctly.. something seems off but it makes sense in my head xP I mean that as the immediate result.. not long term.

Havoc wrote:

I'm very worried that this is gonna bring the prices down. Sure, they're only up for three days, but that doesn't mean people are gonna buy as many as they can in that time.

I don't think that you need to worry, how many people do you think will spend $20 on an item and then try to sell it for 10k? I don't think that's gonna happen.

i don't see the prices being affected very much at all. even if i had the cash, i would rather use the $20 on something else, than put it all on one item. let alone SELL that one item for anything less than what i paid for it XD i think it'll be okay, that emy and staff did the best possible thing for re-releasing them.